9
Deluded
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 75
Yarmouth · Sea Deer Handicap · 6f 3y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newmarket | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | York | 2 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 21/08/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 10/10/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |