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5

King Of Chaos

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 77

Yarmouth · Sea Deer Handicap · 6f 3y

#11

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Three-time winner on all-weather this year, latest at Wolverhampton in July. Below form more recently, though, and has yet to score on turf.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 73 · 7f1y Std 133 · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 73 par27/045OR 734 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 73 · 7f GF 128 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f Gd 131 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 71 par15/055OR 715 @ Brighton 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 68 · 5f215y Goo 134 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 66 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 66 par16/065OR 664 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 72 · 6f3y GF 131 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Wolverhampton 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 72 · 6f20y Std 132 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 72 par17/075OR 724 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Kempton 26/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 78 · 6f Sta 128 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 78 par26/084OR 78projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Kempton411th11th0
2026-07-31Wolverhampton47th7th0
2026-07-17Wolverhampton51st2nd−1
2026-07-09Epsom Downs47th7th0
2026-06-16Wolverhampton51st2nd−1
2026-05-29Brighton53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0429/0517/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength15%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20269th25/10%20%+0.20
02/05/20267th33/10%40%+0.40
15/05/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
29/05/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
16/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
09/07/20267th18/15%14%+0.09
17/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
31/07/20267th8/158%33%-0.25
26/08/202611th33/10%0%0.00