8
Nuevo Slovo
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 75
Yarmouth · Sea Deer Handicap · 6f 3y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Sandown | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Leicester | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | York | 3 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/04/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 18/06/2025 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 22/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 15/05/2026 | 16th | 50/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 01/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |