1

Three Non Blondes

3yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 82

Yarmouth · Sea Deer Handicap · 6f 3y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual 6f/7f winner for Karl Burke last winter and gained first success for current yard in 4-runner handicap at this course (7f) in July. Proved disappointing on all-weather since but may do better back here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chelmsford City 04/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f Std 1264/1244 @ Newcastle 01/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f Std 1265 @ Wolverhampton 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 74 par30/015OR 742 @ Newcastle 03/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 82 · 6f Std 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 82 · 7f6y GF 137 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 82 par20/064OR 824 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 82 · 7f GF 137 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Yarmouth 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 81 · 7f3y GF 130 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 81 par23/074OR 814 @ Lingfield 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 82 · 7f1y Std 132 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 82 par11/084OR 82projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Lingfield47th7th0
2026-07-23Yarmouth41st1st0
2026-07-10Newmarket47th7th0
2026-06-20Doncaster43rd3rd0
2026-04-03Newcastle25th3rd+2
2026-01-30Wolverhampton51st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/123/0423/0711/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength41%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/12/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
01/01/20262nd11/1094%86%-0.09
30/01/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
03/04/20265th16/116%69%+0.53
20/06/20263rd22/10%83%+0.83
10/07/20267th11/142%40%-0.02
23/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
11/08/20267th5/287%0%-0.87