Blue Sign

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 68

Yarmouth · British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 3y

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength68%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C2.7

Today: 4

Class gap: +1.4

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-03	Nottingham	4	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-07-09	Newmarket	2	8th	6th	+2	4.4
2026-06-19	Royal Ascot	1	17th	13th	+3	1.0
2026-05-30	Lingfield	4	4th	4th	0	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -28.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
30/05/2026	4th	16/1	16%	57%	+0.41
19/06/2026	17th	250/1	0%	33%	+0.33
09/07/2026	8th	50/1	0%	13%	+0.13
03/08/2026	5th	4/1	79%	33%	-0.46