8

Plastic Dream

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 66

Yarmouth · British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed ability when fourth on debut at Newmarket last month and ran to a similar level when third of 14 in novice (12/1) at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 9 days ago. Each-way claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/0835 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 6f12y Goo 1287/095projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Windsor53rd4th1
2026-08-20Newmarket34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +22.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20264th22/10%25%+0.25
07/09/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48