3

Miss Wong

4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 83

Yarmouth · EBF Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 1m 2f 23y

#11

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won back-to-back handicaps last year but has struggled since stepping up to listed/Group company, including in first-time cheekpieces at Beverley last time. Hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 22/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m3f104y Goo 12322/0455 @ Ffos Las 29/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m3f209y Sft 128 · beat its mark29/06/2025 · OR 75 par5 @ Kempton 11/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 1m2f219y Sta 133 · beat its mark11/08/2025 · OR 73 par11/085OR 734 @ Yarmouth 17/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 77 · 1m3f104y Sft 135 · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 77 par2 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 1m4f Goo 122 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 83 par4/102OR 831 @ Newbury 25/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 86 · 1m4f Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 86 par1 @ Goodwood 01/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 86 · 1m3f218y Gd 128 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 86 par1/051OR 861 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 85 · 1m5f188y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 85 par1 @ Beverley 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 84 · 1m4f23y Goo 123 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 84 par4/071OR 84projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Beverley15th5th0
2026-05-23York16th6th+0
2026-05-01Goodwood17th7th0
2025-10-25Newbury18th8th+0
2025-10-04Newmarket22nd3rd1
2025-09-17Yarmouth41st5th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0417/091/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength4%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20252nd11/1094%67%-0.28
29/06/20254th17/255%63%+0.07
11/08/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
17/09/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
04/10/20252nd7/282%80%-0.02
25/10/20258th33/10%13%+0.13
01/05/20267th10/147%25%-0.22
23/05/20266th18/15%17%+0.11
04/07/20265th28/10%0%0.00