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4

Morrophore

5yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 105

Yarmouth · EBF Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 1m 2f 23y

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has won 3 of her 5 handicap starts, producing a smart effort to nail Sky Safari late in 1¼m event at Lingfield in January. Seemed totally unsuited by the most testing conditions she's encountered to date when well beaten back on turf at York (soft) last month. Back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength13%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 28/06/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m GF 12828/0645 @ Yarmouth 10/07/2024 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m3y GS 1285 @ Wolverhampton 24/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m1f104y Std 12824/1053 @ Southwell 27/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 87 · 1m13y Std 142 · beat its mark27/04/2025 · OR 87 par4 @ Ascot 10/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 88 · 1m1f212y GF 145 · beat its mark10/05/2025 · OR 88 par10/054OR 882 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 98 · 1m2f Goo 138 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 98 par2 @ Lingfield 03/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 98 · 1m2f Std 138 · beat its mark03/12/2025 · OR 98 par3/122OR 982 @ Lingfield 17/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 101 · 1m2f Std 138 · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 101 par1 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 105 · 1m3f188y GS 135 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 105 par20/081OR 105projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20York111th11th0
2026-01-17Lingfield21st2nd−1
2025-12-03Lingfield21st2nd−1
2025-10-04Newmarket24th5th−1
2025-05-10Ascot41st5th−3
2025-04-27Southwell33rd6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0627/043/1220/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20243rd11/142%71%+0.29
10/07/20246th11/486%50%-0.36
24/10/20241st3/184%100%+0.16
27/04/20253rd9/153%71%+0.19
10/05/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
04/10/20254th5/287%50%-0.37
03/12/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
17/01/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
20/08/202611th11/271%17%-0.54