7

Rhapsody
4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 102
Yarmouth · EBF Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 1m 2f 23y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength21%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | York | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-07 | York | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-08-20 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-06-08 | Goodwood | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2024 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 29/03/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 24/05/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 08/06/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 20/08/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |