7

Rhapsody

4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 102

Yarmouth · EBF Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 1m 2f 23y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Is clearly no worse for a light 2026, in the frame for the third time in as many starts in good company when 3¼ lengths second of 13 in listed race at York (1½m, soft) 27 days ago, albeit no match for winner. Should give her running again back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength21%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 07/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m3y Goo 1287/1052 @ Kempton 29/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m Sta 1321 @ Goodwood 24/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m1f197y Goo 128 · beat its mark24/05/2025 · OR 87 par24/051OR 871 @ Goodwood 08/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 85 · 1m1f197y Sft 128 · beat its mark08/06/2025 · OR 85 par4 @ Kempton 20/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 84 · 1m Sta 135 · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 84 par20/084OR 843 @ York 07/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 83 · 1m177y Gd 132 · beat its mark07/09/2025 · OR 83 par2 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 24 · OR 92 · 1m GF 125 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 92 par17/062OR 921 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 92 · 1m2f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 92 par1 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 102 · 1m3f188y GS 135 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 102 par20/081OR 102projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20York12nd2nd0
2026-07-18Curragh12nd2nd+0
2026-06-17Royal Ascot24th5th1
2025-09-07York31st4th2
2025-08-20Kempton45th9th3
2025-06-08Goodwood18th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/108/0617/0620/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20241st14/126%100%+0.74
29/03/20256th10/382%17%-0.66
24/05/20259th7/282%0%-0.82
08/06/20258th12/137%22%-0.15
20/08/20255th11/142%64%+0.22
07/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
17/06/20264th12/137%87%+0.50
18/07/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38
20/08/20262nd9/153%92%+0.39