12
She Commands
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 91
Yarmouth · EBF Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 1m 2f 23y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Lingfield | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 20th | 21th | −1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-10-10 | Kempton | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Sandown | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +17.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/06/2026 | 20th | 50/1 | 0% | 34% | +0.34 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |