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3

Enoch

3yo Colt · 9-11 · OR 95

Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap · 1m 1f 21y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Frankel colt who looked a smart prospect when making a winning debut in a 7f Newmarket maiden in September, travelling fluently and quickening up well. Did little to alter that view at Lingfield on reappearance 3 weeks ago (1m) and there should be plenty more to come, particularly up to this trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f GF 12826/0944 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m1y Std 13727/084projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Lingfield41st2nd−1
2025-09-26Newmarket41st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0927/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength73%

Delivery trend -18.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
27/08/20261st2/598%100%+0.02