Jimmy Speaking
5yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 83
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap · 1m 1f 21y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | York | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Ripon | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newmarket | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 06/10/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |