10
Masked Warrior
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 88
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap · 1m 1f 21y
#7
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Ripon | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Leicester | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Nottingham | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Newbury | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -10.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 43% | -0.50 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 25% | -0.67 |