Rogue Millions
4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 92
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap · 1m 1f 21y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Ascot | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-07-18 | Hamilton | 1 | 7th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-06-25 | Carlisle | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-05-30 | Chepstow | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 09/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 30/05/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/06/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |