12

Round The Table

3yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 87

Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap · 1m 1f 21y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mid-field in a strong Newbury maiden on debut and has landed the odds next 2 starts, emphatically at Ffos Las in June, before making all in novice at Doncaster. Tongue strap added and he proved to be a disappointment at Newmarket 4 weeks ago. Goes back in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newbury 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f Gd 13315/0534 @ Ffos Las 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 13029/0643 @ Doncaster 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 1m2f43y GF 13523/0733 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 87 · 1m4f Goo 125 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 87 par20/083OR 87projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Newmarket35th5th0
2026-07-23Doncaster31st1st0
2026-06-29Ffos Las41st2nd1
2026-05-15Newbury35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0529/0623/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -22.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20265th9/276%60%-0.16
29/06/20261st2/598%100%+0.02
23/07/20261st2/799%100%+0.02
20/08/20265th2/189%0%-0.89