6

Savvy Disko

3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 94

Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap · 1m 1f 21y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

78%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved when making successful reappearance on all-weather at Lingfield (1m) in May and backed that up in no uncertain terms when making mockery of an opening mark of 85 over 9f on turf there in June. Had an unfortunate experience at Goodwood (badly hampered and fell) but he retains potential.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS4/1024 @ Newmarket 22/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f Gd 12822/1044 @ Lingfield 12/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m1y Std 12912/0544 @ Lingfield 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 85 · 1m1f Goo 135 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 85 par27/064OR 85projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Goodwood2+1
2026-06-27Lingfield41st2nd1
2026-05-12Lingfield41st2nd1
2025-10-22Newmarket44th5th1
2025-10-04Newmarket23rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1022/1012/0527/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20253rd28/10%50%+0.50
22/10/20254th13/266%70%+0.04
12/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
27/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13