8
Shameful
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 88
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Handicap · 1m 1f 21y
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength19%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Sandown | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Curragh | BHA90 | 2nd | 9th | −6 |
| 2025-03-26 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2024-09-20 | Newbury | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 26/03/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 91% | -0.05 |
| 24/05/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 90% | -0.00 |
| 19/06/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 72% | +0.72 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |