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Alice De Clare

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 78

Yarmouth · British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 104y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

61%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has been building up positive profile in handicaps, making it 3 wins from last 4 starts in gritty fashion at Lingfield. Failure to keep straight cost her further success at Goodwood 3 weeks ago (demoted) but her limit may not have been reached if she can keep straight with this track perhaps a help.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 04/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m Sta 1234/0244 @ Wolverhampton 09/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f104y Std 1284 @ Wolverhampton 23/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m142y Std 12323/0346 @ Beverley 23/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 59 · 1m1f207y Goo 134 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 59 · 1m2f23y GF 130 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 59 par30/046OR 595 @ Leicester 26/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 68 · 1m2f Goo 133 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Lingfield 18/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m2f Goo 132 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 72 par18/065OR 725 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 72 · 1m2f1y Std 132 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Goodwood 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 75 · 1m1f197y Goo 135 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 75 par28/085OR 75projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Goodwood51st2nd−1
2026-08-13Lingfield51st2nd−1
2026-06-18Lingfield57th8th−1
2026-05-26Leicester51st2nd−1
2026-04-30Yarmouth61st3rd−2
2026-04-23Beverley62nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0223/0418/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength82%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20269th22/10%27%+0.27
09/03/20267th150/10%25%+0.25
23/03/20264th200/10%67%+0.67
23/04/20262nd10/147%91%+0.44
30/04/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
26/05/20261st2/799%100%+0.02
18/06/20267th7/282%25%-0.57
13/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
28/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26