8

Clocker
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 68
Yarmouth · British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 104y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Leicester | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Hamilton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Carlisle | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 05/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 02/09/2026 | 8th | 15/8 | 90% | 36% | -0.54 |