Ladykirk
3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 80
Yarmouth · British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 104y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Haydock | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Sandown | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-21 | Yarmouth | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -31.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |