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Rossa Raheen

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 73

Yarmouth · British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 104y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Suited by the step up to this distance when opening account in handicap at Salisbury in July. Failed to repeat that effort when down the field at the same course last month, though she remains unexposed over this trip and is in very capable hands.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f213y Sft 1285/0944 @ Haydock 27/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 7f212y Goo 1284 @ Newbury 18/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 25 · OR - · 1m Goo 12818/0445 @ Newbury 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 70 · 1m2f Gd 135 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 71 · 1m1f201y Sft 120 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 71 par9/064OR 715 @ Newbury 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 71 · 1m2f GF 128 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Salisbury 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 71 · 1m4f5y Goo 131 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 71 par25/075OR 713 @ Salisbury 13/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m4f5y Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 73 par13/083OR 73projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Salisbury36th5th+1
2026-07-25Salisbury51st2nd−1
2026-07-02Newbury54th5th−1
2026-06-09Salisbury46th6th0
2026-05-15Newbury52nd3rd−1
2026-04-18Newbury415th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0915/0525/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -5.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20256th22/10%50%+0.50
27/09/20254th8/158%0%-0.58
18/04/202615th80/10%42%+0.42
15/05/20262nd22/10%92%+0.92
09/06/20266th11/486%17%-0.69
02/07/20264th10/382%70%-0.12
25/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
13/08/20266th11/142%17%-0.25