5
Shangri La
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 73
Yarmouth · British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 104y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Lingfield | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-06 | Yarmouth | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Sandown | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 06/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |