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4

Come On Eibhlin

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 68

Yarmouth · Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Windsor winner as a juvenile but unable to add to that since despite a falling mark (often prominent in the betting). Blew the start at Windsor last week and others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength63%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 05/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 77 · 7f14y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 77 par5/044OR 774 @ Wetherby 26/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 76 · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 74 · 1m31y GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 74 par23/054OR 745 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 74 · 7f Goo 131 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Newmarket 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 73 · 1m Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 73 par25/064OR 735 @ Beverley 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m100y Goo 130 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Sandown 29/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m1f209y Goo 131 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 71 par29/075OR 715 @ Nottingham 11/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 69 · 6f18y Goo 135 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 68 · 6f12y Goo 136 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 68 par7/095OR 68projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Windsor511th11th0
2026-08-11Nottingham53rd3rd0
2026-07-29Sandown59th9th0
2026-07-04Beverley55th5th0
2026-06-25Newmarket44th3rd+1
2026-06-04Wetherby53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/044/0629/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
26/04/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
23/05/20263rd11/142%71%+0.29
04/06/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
25/06/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
04/07/20265th10/382%50%-0.32
29/07/20269th12/137%11%-0.26
11/08/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
07/09/202611th5/174%17%-0.57