12
Ironist
4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 61
Yarmouth · Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Yarmouth | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Yarmouth | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-21 | Yarmouth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 11-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 36% | -0.48 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 03/09/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |