2

Marianne Mozart

4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 68

Yarmouth · Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y

#13

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Attracted sustained support following a yard switch/8 months off but could only run to a similar level as on debut when fifth at Southwell in January. Disappointing on handicap debut back there 16 days ago and she now tries turf for the first time. Much more needed from current mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength73%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Lingfield 18/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f1y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS18/0124 @ Southwell 13/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f16y Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS13/0144 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f36y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS31/0745 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 70 · 6f16y Std 135 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 70 par31/085OR 70projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Southwell511th11th0
2026-07-31Wolverhampton45th4th+1
2026-01-13Southwell45th4th+1
2025-01-18Lingfield25th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0113/0131/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength6%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/01/20255th40/10%20%+0.20
13/01/20265th7/491%64%-0.27
31/07/20265th11/142%56%+0.13
31/08/202611th22/10%9%+0.09