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Minnie Idol

4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 68

Yarmouth · Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Due Diligence filly. Half-sister to useful 5f winner Beautiful Diamond. Showed plenty on belated debut when second in Newcastle maiden for John Butler in February. Not at that level both starts on the all-weather soon after and now makes turf/handicap debut following 6 months off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 24/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS24/0244 @ Newcastle 19/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS19/0344 @ Kempton 30/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f Sta 141 · HIGHER CLASS30/034projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-30Kempton44th3rd+1
2026-03-19Newcastle44th3rd+1
2026-02-24Newcastle42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0219/0330/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -32.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/02/20262nd50/10%90%+0.90
19/03/20264th5/287%70%-0.17
30/03/20264th22/10%25%+0.25