8

Q T Pie

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 66

Yarmouth · Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y

#10

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Windsor maiden winner on good to firm for the Kublers last summer. Good second of 9 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, heavy) on return for new yard but backward steps twice since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 10/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS10/0745 @ Windsor 26/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f12y Goo 12826/0755 @ Lingfield 30/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 71 · 5f6y Std 133 · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 71 par30/085OR 715 @ Leicester 22/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 68 · 6f Goo 133 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 68 par22/095OR 685 @ Goodwood 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 66 · 6f Sft 131 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 66 par12/065OR 665 @ Leicester 04/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 69 · 6f GF 135 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 69 par4/075OR 695 @ Windsor 03/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 68 · 6f12y GF 129 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 68 par3/085OR 68projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Windsor55th5th0
2026-07-04Leicester59th9th0
2026-06-12Goodwood52nd2nd0
2025-09-22Leicester59th9th0
2025-08-30Lingfield54th4th0
2025-07-26Windsor51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0722/093/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 11-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -13.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20255th20/10%60%+0.60
26/07/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
30/08/20254th9/276%40%-0.36
22/09/20259th12/137%0%-0.37
12/06/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61
04/07/20269th15/261%20%-0.41
03/08/20265th15/261%0%-0.61