Raffles Angel
5yo Mare · 9-12 · OR 70
Yarmouth · Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Haydock | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Nottingham | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lingfield | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-26 | Ripon | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 18/07/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 31/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 26/08/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 27% | -0.49 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |