Romantic Twilight
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 66
Yarmouth · Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Newmarket | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Leicester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2025-10-22 | Newmarket | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 15/08/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 11/09/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 13/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 22/10/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 23/05/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/08/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |