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7

Startled Lady

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 67

Yarmouth · Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

30%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Opened account in a C&D handicap in July (race worked out well). Dismal follow-up bid at Doncaster but represents in-form yard and was back on her game when ½-length third of 7 to Remi Mae in handicap at Kempton 2 weeks ago, running on. Shouldn't be much between them again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 19/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 67 · 6f Std 126 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 67 par19/095OR 675 @ Lingfield 14/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 65 · 7f1y Std 130 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 65 par5 @ Lingfield 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 65 · 7f2y Std 126 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 65 par20/045OR 655 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 65 · 6f12y Goo 126 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Lingfield 04/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 64 · 7f1y Std 126 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 64 par4/065OR 645 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 63 · 6f Goo 128 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Yarmouth 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 63 · 6f3y GF 134 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 63 par15/076OR 635 @ Doncaster 01/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 67 · 6f2y GF 130 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 67 · 6f Sta 135 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 67 par2/095OR 67projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton53rd3rd0
2026-08-01Doncaster58th8th0
2026-07-15Yarmouth61st2nd−1
2026-06-20Newmarket53rd3rd0
2026-06-04Lingfield55th5th0
2026-05-11Windsor53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0911/0515/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20254th4/179%73%-0.06
14/10/20254th14/126%77%+0.51
20/04/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
11/05/20263rd10/382%82%-0.01
04/06/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
20/06/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
15/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
01/08/20268th6/168%0%-0.68
02/09/20263rd17/255%67%+0.11