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10

Thunderous Love

5yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 62

Yarmouth · Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y

#11

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful 5 times last year. Took a while to find her form this campaign but from a much-reduced mark, she was back in good order with a pair of runner-up efforts this summer. Laboured effort on a rare all-weather start 2 weeks ago but likely to bounce back on grass.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Leicester 13/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 73 · 6f Gd 133 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 73 par13/045OR 734 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 71 · 6f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Lingfield 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 7f Goo 130 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 70 par26/055OR 705 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 70 · 6f Goo 138 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 68 · 6f Sft 128 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 68 par9/065OR 685 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 65 · 6f GF 137 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Salisbury 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 62 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 62 par25/075OR 625 @ Nottingham 11/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 62 · 6f18y Goo 132 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 63 · 6f16y Std 128 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 63 par31/085OR 63projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Southwell59th9th0
2026-08-11Nottingham52nd2nd0
2026-07-25Salisbury52nd2nd0
2026-07-09Newbury59th9th0
2026-06-09Salisbury56th6th0
2026-06-05Goodwood59th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/045/0625/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/04/20265th9/153%50%-0.03
09/05/20267th14/126%65%+0.38
26/05/20266th9/276%17%-0.60
05/06/20269th4/179%11%-0.68
09/06/20266th10/382%44%-0.38
09/07/20269th15/261%27%-0.33
25/07/20262nd15/261%89%+0.28
11/08/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10
31/08/20269th8/158%27%-0.31