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12:57 · Catterick

Racing To School Nursery

5f 212yGoing TBCClass 62YO onlyTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 64
6/5
Duchess Of Immatin silks

Mr I Aldabiba

Duchess Of Immatin

2yo Filly · 10-1

Blue Point - Spring Sunshine (James Garfield)

Jack Callan60%G Boughey60%
441
6.0

Blue Point filly who has displayed race-by-race progress in trio of starts to date, benefiting from the return to 6f and holding chief market rival for largely hands-and-heels riding when successful in novice at Kempton (6f) 7 days ago. Looks well treated under a penalty switched to a nursery.

Class Advantage

27/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0814/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0923/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength85%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%27/08Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%14/09Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%23/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.8%Ahead 2/3
2
2
OR 64
4/1
Bladey Lady silks

Barmyblades Ii

Bladey Lady

2yo Filly · 9-9

Minzaal - Nashmiah (Elusive City)

D Allan60%1/2T D Easterby60%
347118
5.0

Improved model switched to nurseries this month, successful at long odds at Newcastle prior to following up in a big field at Thirsk (6f). Not in same form upped in grade when eighth of 14 at Leicester (6f) 9 days ago but return to class 6 company a plus here.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/0528/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par21/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%12/05Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 40%8/06Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%14/09Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 46%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.4%Ahead 3/4
3
3
OR 52
2/1
Johns Power silks

Fell & Lavery

Johns Power

2yo Colt · 8-11

Perfect Power - Mon Ombre (Wootton Bassett)

C Horgan−5lbRoger Fell
064703
5.0

Perfect Power colt who has posted his best efforts here to date, latterly when keeping on for third in a C&D nursery 3 weeks ago. Assessor eases his grip a little more ahead of this but he needs to find improvement in any case if he's to figure.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 10%18/06Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 67%15/07Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%2/09Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%8/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.8%Ahead 2/4
4
5
OR 51
10/1
Baila Morena silks

T&T Racing Ltd And Keith West

Baila Morena

2yo Filly · 8-10

Pinatubo - Fan Dance (Canford Cliffs)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%Ollie Pears60%
74077
3.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2

Standout effort when fourth of 15 in 6f maiden at Redcar in May and not figured either start in nurseries subsequently, merely plugging on when seventh of 16 at Thirsk (6f) last time. Cheekpieces go on for the first time now.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0418/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 40%15/04Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 79%18/05Pos 12 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 12 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 21%12/06Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 14%7/07Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%14/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.4%Ahead 2/4
6
4
OR 45
33/1
Redrosecastana silks

Red Rose Partnership

Redrosecastana

2yo Gelding · 8-4

Mehmas - Shaden (Kodiac)

L Morris70%C N Kellett
979
2.0

Mehmas gelding out of a 2-y-o 5f/6f winner. Big prices and offered little in a trio of turf/all-weather maiden/novice events in recent months. Does now get a crack at handicaps from basement mark but plenty of improvement required if he's to feature.

Class Advantage

8/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0826/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0815/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength55%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%8/08Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 14%26/08Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 11%15/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.5%Ahead 2/3
5
6
OR 50
33/1
Purrista silks

Nick Bradley Racing 21 & Partners

Purrista

2yo Filly · 8-9

Caturra - Pink Haze (Lope De Vega)

Joanna Mason0/1G Tutty
30590
3.0

Offered something to work on amidst greenness when third on debut at Beverley (5f) in July but has gone the wrong way since, always behind when 14½ lengths thirteenth of 16 to Bladey Lady on nursery debut at Thirsk (6f, good) 16 days ago. Looks best watched.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/077/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%28/07Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 43%26/08Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%30/08Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%14/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.0%Ahead 3/4