12:00 · Bellewstown

Racing TV Nursery Handicap

7f 195yGoing TBC2YO onlyTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 74
11/8
Cromane silks

Crampscastle Bloodstock Ltd

2yo Filly · 10-2

Territories - Grace And Glory (Montjeu)

Gary Carroll60%1/3J G Murphy60%
5701
5.0

Showed much improved form upped in trip when making a successful nursery debut in 13-runner event at Naas (1m, good to soft) 14 days ago. Has excellent follow-up claims.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0531/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/0716/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/0817/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%19/05Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%31/07Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 18%16/08Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%17/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.7%Ahead 3/4
3
Value2
OR 70
6/1
Violet Be Humble silks

Mrs A O'Callaghan

2yo Filly · 9-12

Cotai Glory - Violet Warda (Kodiac)

Reese Holohan−5lbSean Davis100%
455
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +21st Tongue Strap +2

Has shown some ability whilst looking as if she's been brought along with handicaps in mind, so reasonable to believe she can take a step forward now switching to such company in a first-time tongue strap and cheekpieces combination.

Class Advantage

2/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0723/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0719/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%2/07Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 64%23/07Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 33%19/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +44.4%Ahead 3/3
2
3
OR 73
4/1
Ippy silks

Paul J Nolan & Walerc Limited & M J Wasylocha & Tony Cantwell

2yo Filly · 10-1

Kodi Bear - Bittern (New Approach)

Rory Mulligan60%0/1−5lbJohn O'Donoghue
503
4.0
Hood

Showed something like debut form in a refitted hood when third of 14 in maiden at Down Royal (7f, good) 27 days ago. Opening mark demands more but probably hasn't yet shown her all.

Class Advantage

2/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0730/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/084/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%2/07Pos 15 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 15 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%30/08Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 85%4/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.8%Ahead 2/3
4
4
OR 66
8/1
Scarlet Dream silks

Adrian McGuinness

2yo Filly · 9-8

Ardad - True Scarlet (Make Believe)

Adam Caffrey0/2A McGuinness
7945
2.0

Showed a bit of promise in qualifying runs but lacked the pace to get involved when fifth of 7 on nursery debut at Fairyhouse (6f, good, 14/1) 10 days ago, merely closing up late. Looks to have taken after the distaff side of her pedigree, so this 2f longer trip is likely to suit.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0823/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/082/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0921/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 54%15/08Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 47%23/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%2/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%21/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.2%Ahead 4/4
5
6
OR 64
5/1
Green Sparkle silks

Simon Munir & Isaac Souede

2yo Filly · 9-6

Lope De Vega - Runaway Sparkle (Green Desert)

J M Sheridan60%0/1J P O'Brien
900
2.0

Appealing pedigree but looks a stable lesser light on early evidence and needs to show appreciably more now switching to handicap company.

Class Advantage

19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/079/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/0818/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%19/07Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 31%9/08Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 18%18/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.5%Ahead 2/3
6
5
OR 64
16/1
Sister Nancy silks

On The Market Syndicate

2yo Filly · 9-6

Masar - La Patria (Dubawi)

Ben Coen70%Daniel McLoughlin
460
2.0
Hood

Showed a bit more than on debut when sixth of 9 in 1m maiden over C&D in July. Failed to repeat that effort at Gowran 9 weeks later but still showed signs of inexperience. Hood back on for handicap bow.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/052/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/071/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 57%31/05Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%2/07Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 27%1/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.4%Ahead 2/3
7
7
OR 51
20/1
Dropping Dimes silks

Mrs Catherine Harrison

2yo Filly · 8-7

Ghaiyyath - Tingleo (Galileo)

Rory ClearyJ P Fahey
099
2.0

Has shown little in a trio of 6f maidens but is bred to fare better over this longer trip now handicapping.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0614/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/068/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 9 · SP 500/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 500/1 | Actual: 38%14/06Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%8/07
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 1/3