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14:14 · Salisbury

British EBF Joan Snow Memorial Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

6fGoing TBCClass 22YO onlyTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 92
4/1
A Bear Affair silks

A Bit On The Side & Partner

A Bear Affair

2yo Colt · 9-8

Kodi Bear - Jeanie B (Bated Breath)

P J Dobbs0/1R Hannon70%
762854
4.0Class ↓1
Blinkers

Won the Brocklesby at Doncaster in March and posted a good second in 5f listed race at Sandown in July. Has also recorded solid efforts in valuable sales events at Newmarket and Doncaster on last 2 runs, fourth of 17 on latter occasion when sporting first-time blinkers (retained). Not ruled out.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0517/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par17/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par10/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%28/05Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%3/07Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 76%22/08Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 81%10/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.0%Ahead 3/4
6
Value2
OR 82
10/1
Super Tuscan silks

Anthony Pye-jeary & Partner

Super Tuscan

2yo Gelding · 9-6

Dark Angel - Golden Stunner (Dream Ahead)

Charles Bishop0/3Eve Johnson Houghton60%
415623
6.0Going 8.0

Impressively landed 6f Chepstow novice in June. Advanced his form when placed in strong 6f nurseries at York (unlucky runner-up) and Doncaster last 2 starts. This is tougher but he's no forlorn hope.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/0527/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%12/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%11/07Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 94%19/08Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%11/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +46.3%Ahead 3/4
5
5
8/1
Through The Gate silks

Valmont & Mr M Blencowe

Through The Gate

2yo Colt · 9-8

Invincible Spirit - Spinworthy (Gio Ponti)

H Crouch60%1/1Harry Eustace
1
10.0Going 8.0

Belied market weakness to make a winning start in 7-runner novice at Redcar (6f, good) 22 days ago. This demands a lot more but this Invincible Spirit colt has more to offer and shouldn't be underestimated.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.6%Ahead 1/1
2
3
OR 96
5/2
Dance A Jig silks

Mr J C Smith

Dance A Jig

2yo Colt · 9-8

Naval Crown - Strictly Dancing (Danehill Dancer)

Rhys Clutterbuck60%R M Beckett70%
220193
5.0Going 7.0Class ↓1
Visor

Easily got off the mark in 5f nursery at Haydock in August. Bounced back from a lesser effort in listed event at York when third of 8 in similar company at Ayr (5f, soft) last time. Visor worn there is retained and holds good claims back up to 6f.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a28/031/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par22/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par18/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 93%28/03Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%Pos 23 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 23 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 8%17/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 20%22/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%18/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.2%Ahead 1/4
4
Market Fav4
OR 97
9/4
Social Symbol silks

Rabbah Racing

Social Symbol

2yo Colt · 9-8

Violence - Bodacious Babe (Mineshaft)

J Mitchell60%0/1S & E Crisford
14433
6.0Class ↓2

Made a winning start in novice at Ripon (5f) in June and has acquitted himself well in good company all 4 runs subsequently, finishing third of 8 in Sirenia Stakes at Kempton (6f) last time. This consistent sort is not out of things.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/0620/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par8/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par5/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%3/06Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 85%20/06Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%17/07Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 71%8/08Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%5/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.5%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 89
7/1
Napa silks

Amo Racing Limited

Napa

2yo Colt · 9-8

Naval Crown - My Wish (Galileo)

D Egan60%1/3K P De Foy
41876
3.0Class ↓1

Made all in 5f Newmarket novice in May. Failed to beat a rival in a couple of listed races after but back on track when sixth of 11 in nursery back at Newmarket (5f, good to firm) a week ago when set a lot to do. Possibilities.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/043/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a28/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par24/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 63%17/04Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%3/05Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%28/05Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%31/08Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%24/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.1%Ahead 2/4