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18:20 · Thistledown

Race 4 - Claiming

1m3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 76
8/5
Wise Words silks

Enrique Lopez

Wise Words

3yo Gelding · 8-3

Thousand Words - Glamour Lady (More Than Ready)

Chelsey Keiser60%0/1Enrique Lopez
562552
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

12/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/0425/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%12/04Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%9/06Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%5/08Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%20/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.0%Ahead 2/4
6
3
OR 68
2/1
Polizon silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

Polizon

3yo Colt · 8-3

Modernist - Trickita (Hat Trick)

Jason Simpson60%0/1Ricardo Bailey
445632
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par24/0613/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%24/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%28/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%20/08Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.2%Ahead 4/4
5
Value2
OR 61
6/1
It's Last Call silks

Rey Juarez-mendoza

It's Last Call

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Brethren - Eila (Benny The Bull)

Jefferson Skerrett60%−5lbRey Mendoza
437947
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par9/0623/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%9/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%28/07Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%10/09Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%21/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.5%Ahead 1/4
2
4
OR 55
8/1
Lao Way silks

Johanson Serrano

Lao Way

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Laoban - Proactive (Conquest Curlinate)

Luis Batista60%0/5Johanson Serrano
515785
4.0

Class Advantage

24/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par24/067/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par17/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%24/06Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%21/07Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%8/09Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%17/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.8%Ahead 1/4
1
6
OR 38
10/1
Weekend Retreat silks

N And E Racing Stables

Weekend Retreat

5yo Gelding · 8-7

City Weekend - Afternoon Prayer (Meadow Prayer)

David HaldarSaul Morales
679564
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

18/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/11 · mark par18/1116/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/12 · mark par13/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/01 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%18/11Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%13/01Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%20/08Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%22/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.2%Ahead 3/4
3
5
OR 62
9/2
Lookin Like Lucky silks

Johanson Serrano

Lookin Like Lucky

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Lookin At Lucky - Dance With Doves (A.p. Indy)

Charle Oliveros60%Johanson Serrano
556375
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

3/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par3/0624/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%3/06Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%28/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%1/09Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%10/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.2%Ahead 2/4