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20:20 · Thistledown

Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Value2
OR 81
5/1
Kozem silks

Caryn Vecchio

Kozem

5yo Mare · 8-11

Enticed - Equites (Malibu Moon)

David HaldarCaryn Vecchio70%
231121
9.0Class ↓2Going 8.0

Class Advantage

3/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/02 · mark par3/0224/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par25/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par16/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 83%3/02Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%14/07Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%25/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%16/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.1%Ahead 3/4
7
3
OR 83
3/1
Chess Not Checkers silks

Paul Woosley

Chess Not Checkers

7yo Mare · 8-7

Astern - Wealthy Shipman (Midshipman)

Jose Bracho60%6/23Jeffrey Radosevich60%
212332
8.0Going 10.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

25/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par25/0520/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par9/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par30/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par27/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par16/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%25/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%9/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%27/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%16/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.9%Ahead 2/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 88
5/2
Absolute Miracle silks

Danielle Agnello

Absolute Miracle

5yo Mare · 8-7

Audible - Speightlass (Speightstown)

Jefferson Skerrett60%2/11−5lbJeffrey Skerrett60%
126125
6.0Class ↓2Going 8.0

Class Advantage

25/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/0520/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par9/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par30/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par27/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par16/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%25/05Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 29%9/07Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%27/08Pos 5 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 20%16/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -33.4%Ahead 1/4
5
4
OR 77
10/1
Pounds In Town silks

Rey Juarez-mendoza

Pounds In Town

4yo Filly · 8-11

Mo Town - Pounds To Pennies (Exchange Rate)

Erik Barbaran60%0/2Rey Mendoza60%
344251
7.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

5/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par5/0518/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par8/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par4/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par25/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%5/05Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%8/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%25/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.6%Ahead 3/4
6
Market Fav7
OR 87
2/1
Blazing Affair silks

Melvin Simonovich

Blazing Affair

4yo Filly · 8-11

Mastery - Tactical Affair (Tapit)

Alexander Chavez60%0/1George Bush60%
311141
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

15/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above15/03 · mark par15/0315/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par25/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par25/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/17 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/17 | Actual: 100%15/03Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%31/05Pos 1 · SP 2/15 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/15 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/7 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%25/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.1%Ahead 1/4
2
5
OR 76
15/1
Gracie Dance silks

Danielle Agnello

Gracie Dance

6yo Mare · 8-7

Super Saver - Salad Mood (Malibu Moon)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%2/8Jeffrey Skerrett60%
571353
6.0Class ↓2Going 8.0

Class Advantage

25/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par25/053/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par16/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par9/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par4/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par16/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%25/05Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%16/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%4/08Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%16/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.8%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 74
12/1
Timely Secret silks

Urieta's Racing Stable

Timely Secret

6yo Mare · 8-7

Commissioner - Noon (Freud)

Victor Fernandez60%1/2Johanna Urieta60%
745221
8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

5/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par5/039/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par30/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par23/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%5/03Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%30/07Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%7/09Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%23/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.0%Ahead 1/4