13:20 · Kelso

Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle

2m 4f 189yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market Fav2
OR 102
2/1
Ballynoe Boy silks

Fine Claret Racing

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Affinisea - Ballerina Queen (Be My Native)

Danny McMenamin70%3/11N G Richards60%
374111
8.0Going 8.0

Has got his act together over hurdles of late, his Bangor success well advertised while he got the hat-trick up at Hexham over this trip on Friday despite errors returning. Big player again under a penalty.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1213/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par2/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par2/10projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%26/12Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%28/06Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%2/10
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-476/100
3
Top Pick1
OR 115
5/1
Do No Wrong silks

Mrs Pauline Southerington

10yo Gelding · 11-12

Sageburg - Uncommited (Dr Massini)

Callum Bewley2/11Justin Landy
951P21
8.0Going 8.0

Fairly useful type. Has a second and 2 wins from his last 3 hurdle starts, again capitalising on a lower mark in smooth style at Newcastle in October (3m). Still 2 lb below his chase mark and did make a winning seasonal reappearance last year.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par3/0629/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par19/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par25/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par2/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par30/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par30/10projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%3/06Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%19/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%2/10Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%30/10
Projected finish2nd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
89%1-476/100
1
3
OR 117
7/2
Klitschko silks

Mrs L Hughes

8yo Gelding · 12-0

Blue Bresil - Arctic Actress (King's Theatre)

B S Hughes70%1/8Lucinda Hughes
5335U1
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Strong traveller who can promise more than he delivers. Capitalised on a reduced mark in good fashion at Sedgefield (17f) in March, winning the race for the second consecutive year. Handicapper taken no chances with an 8 lb rise and returns over a trip that seems to have stretched him previously.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/0424/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par19/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par29/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par21/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/01 · mark par19/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par19/03projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 31%24/04Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%19/10Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%21/01Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%19/03
Projected finish3rd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
78%1-570/100
9
4
OR 96
12/1
Starlyte silks

Wee Dude Partnership

9yo Mare · 10-7

Sir Percy - Virevolle (Kahyasi)

P W Wadge60%3/21L Russell & M Scudamore60%
744344
6.0Class ↓3
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Staying type whose latest success came in Go North Final over C&D (soft) in March 2025. Ran a typical race on first start for 4 months here last time, outpaced/plugged on (beaten 12¾ lengths), again shaping as though ready for a step back up in trip. Conditions probably quicker than ideal, too.

Class Advantage

21/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/0221/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par20/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par6/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par23/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par16/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 57%21/02Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 70%20/04Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%23/05Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%16/09
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%3-1050/100
4
6
OR 112
8/1
Bold Light silks

Mr T Carruthers

9yo Gelding · 11-9

Leading Light - Turmoss (Turgeon)

Gregor Walkingshaw0/2−10lbL Russell & M Scudamore60%
434355
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Isn't the force he was when landing an emphatic C&D success in Class 2 handicap in March 2025 (his latest win). Has given a chance by the handicapper, though, dropped another 2 lb for his 9¼-length fifth in a slightly better race for the grade at Perth latest.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par28/0231/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par24/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par14/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par23/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%28/02Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%24/04Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%12/07Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 64%23/09
Projected finish5th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
56%1-757/100
2
7
OR 115
10/1
Evaluation silks

Lady I & Ms Catriona Good

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Dubawi - Estimate (Monsun)

Ryan Mania60%A Nicol
652324
3.0

Useful on the Flat for Lucinda Russell in 2024. Crying out for this step up in trip over hurdles when hitting the frame in a trio of 2m handicaps last season. Tricky to assess back hurdling (well beaten at long odds both Flat starts since joining a capable yard) but could be worth a chance.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par22/0415/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par16/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par15/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/10 · mark par21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par26/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%22/04Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%16/08Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 25%Pos 13 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%21/08Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 13%26/09
Projected finish6th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
44%3-1050/100
5
5
OR 104
16/1
Heart Above silks

Margaret Coppola & Dianne Sayer

8yo Gelding · 11-1

Shirocco - Cool Baranca (Beat Hollow)

Peter Kavanagh1/3Mrs Dianne Sayer
971P95
5.0Going 8.0

Needed every yard of the trip to capitalise on a drop in grade in C&D hurdle in May. No show twice at Cartmel subsequently and was given a considerate return from 9-week break here last time. Excellent track record (3 wins and 5 places from 13 starts) and yard won previous 2 renewals of this race.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/0120/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par20/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par16/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%1/01Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 40%20/04Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%18/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%16/09
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%5-1064/100
7
9
OR 101
10/1
Kool Raoul silks

The County Set

6yo Gelding · 10-12

Great Pretender - Douma Desbois (Smadoun)

D R Fox70%0/2L Russell & M Scudamore
235785
3.0

Underlined a positive start over hurdles when runner-up in a 2½m Hexham maiden last November. Didn't go on as expected in handicaps and now 7 lb lower than his opening mark as a result. Considered for yard who've fired in a couple of reappearance winners of late.

Class Advantage

7/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/1110/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/12 · mark par1/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par29/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par20/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par13/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/04 · mark par13/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 90%7/11Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%1/01Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%20/03Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%13/04
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
22%5-1064/100
8
8
OR 97
25/1
Dalileo silks

Thp Racing & D A Harrison Racing

11yo Gelding · 10-8

Galileo - Snow Queen (Danehill Dancer)

Dominic Hislop60%−7lbMiss L Harrison
311789
3.0

Perth regular who won back-to-back 3m handicaps there in July. Didn't beat a rival on either start over the same C&D last month, though, and his record here isn't anything special.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par7/062/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 83%7/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%7/09Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%24/09
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
11%10-1090/100
10
10
OR 84
33/1
Interchangeable silks

Mrs S F Dixon

6yo Gelding · 10-2

Jack Hobbs - Alletrix (Flemensfirth)

Mr John Dixon0/8−7lbJ E Dixon
603656
3.0
Hood

Remains with sole win from 15 starts. Hasn't built on the promise of his third over 2¼m here in April. Seemingly no excuses at Cartmel (17f) last time, either, and he has something to prove from well out of the weights following 11 weeks away.

Class Advantage

14/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par14/1216/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%14/12Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 78%20/04Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%2/07Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%20/07
Projected finish10th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%7-1076/100