15:30 · Killarney

Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap

1m 3f 50yYielding to Soft3YO onlyTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Market Fav2
OR 62
3/1
Believe Believe silks

Believe Believe Partnership

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 8

Make Believe - Chiarezza (Fantastic Light)

Reese Holohan60%M O'Callaghan
690821
7.0Going 7.0

Well supported when going down narrowly on return at Gowran in May and showed why 4 months on when making no mistake taking on his elders for the first time at Punchestown (9f) 3 weeks ago. Up 5 lb but could still have more to offer now that he's up and running and this longer trip will suit.

Class Advantage

28/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/094/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par27/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/10 · mark par5/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 1m 3f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 55%28/09Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%20/10Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 92%5/05Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish1st of 12
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-762/100
3
Top Pick1
OR 69
4/1
Wie Wunderbar silks

OMEGA Racing

3yo Filly · 9-13 · Draw 10

Sea The Moon - Wonderful Filly (Lomitas)

Keithen Kennedy60%1/1Mrs J Harrington60%
36213
8.0Going 7.0

Placed twice in Germany and made the perfect start for current connections when winning 11f handicap at Naas in August. Good third at Listowel (1½m) a fortnight ago, no extra only late on and lost third final strides. Can go well again.

Class Advantage

23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/0821/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 50%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%23/08Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
91%7-771/100
11
5
OR 61
10/1
Shay's Dream silks

Shane Hayes & David Newcomb Partnership

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 3

New Bay - Double Lady (Stormy River)

Julian Pietropaolo60%0/1J P O'Brien
008902
4.0

Dropped in grade for only his second handicap start and showed much more than previously when second at Down Royal (11f) last week, the race not getting to the bottom of him. Suddenly interesting after that.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/068/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par28/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%10/06Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%20/07Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%8/09Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 92%28/09
Projected finish3rd of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
82%1-857/100
4
7
OR 68
20/1
Gentle Soda silks

Kate McNamara

3yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 2

Churchill - Karakama (Redoute's Choice)

Conor Cusack60%−7lbE McNamara
075
2.0

Has shown plenty in maidens at up to 1½m and looks the type to do better in handicaps. One to note.

Class Advantage

18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/082/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0921/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 33%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 21%18/08Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 70%2/09Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%21/09
Projected finish4th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
73%1-755/100
7
9
OR 67
16/1
Ocean Fire silks

SWDA Syndicate

3yo Filly · 9-11 · Draw 5

Crystal Ocean - Luciole (High Chaparral)

Jack KearneyR P Cody
855
2.0

Has made a fair start in 1½m maidens and remains with potential now sent handicapping.

Class Advantage

11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0731/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/078/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 33%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%11/07Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 73%31/07Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%8/09
Projected finish5th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
64%1-274/100
6
4
OR 68
12/1
Shambata silks

Exors of the Late H H Aga Khan

3yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 11

New Bay - Shabaya (Teofilo)

Patrick McGettigan0/1J P Murtagh70%
4074
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Took a step back in the right direction on handicap debut when fourth at Galway (1½m) last month. Bred to be useful for leading connections and may yet do better. Cheekpieces are fitted.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0412/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/0631/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/088/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 25%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 63%27/04Pos 12 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 12 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 15%12/06Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%31/08Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 79%8/09
Projected finish6th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
55%1-1224/100
10
10
OR 62
7/1
Chestnut Palace silks

David A Ryan

3yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 7

Palace Pier - Quixotic (Pivotal)

Nicola BurnsN Meade60%
745445
3.0
Blinkers

Fair maiden who wasn't disgraced when fifth at Punchestown (9f) 3 weeks ago, ridden closer to the pace than ideal in first-time blinkers after 3 months off. Should come on for that and worth a look back up in distance.

Class Advantage

9/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0422/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par29/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par10/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 1m 3f 50y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%9/04Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%10/05Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%10/06Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 69%15/09
Projected finish7th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
45%1-188/100
1
3
OR 74
16/1
Marjorie Daw silks

Tadhg O'Sullivan & Shane R Stafford & Crampscastle Bloodstock Ltd

3yo Filly · 10-4 · Draw 1

Sottsass - Lady Glinka (Galileo)

Adam Browne-Souza−7lbJ G Murphy
41840
4.0

Won at Gowran this time last year but didn't fire in 3 runs earlier this season and steps up in trip back from 126 days off now.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/0920/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par9/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par1/06projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 40%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%22/09Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%20/10Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%12/04Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%9/05Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 17%1/06
Projected finish8th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
36%4-1249/100
8
6
OR 65
16/1
Tanzanite Diamond silks

J Tuite

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 13

Galileo Gold - Lucy Diamonds (Orpen)

Sam Coen60%A McGuinness
345084
3.0

Hit the frame in a pair of maidens at Fairyhouse in June and returned to form in Listowel handicap over this trip a fortnight ago. Could have a race in him on that showing.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0612/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par6/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par15/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par21/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 83%5/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 81%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%18/07Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 48%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%15/08Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 79%21/09
Projected finish9th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
27%2-1237/100
12
11
OR 59
12/1
Coilins Girl silks

Colm G Griffin

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 4

Teofilo - Silsiyla (Pivotal)

Rory Mulligan60%0/1J P Murtagh
976
2.0

Down the field in maidens, given a considerate time of things after 7 months off at Clonmel 3 weeks ago. Could do a lot better now handicapping up in trip.

Class Advantage

9/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0127/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0216/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 33%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%9/01Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%27/02Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%16/09
Projected finish10th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
18%2-759/100
5
8
OR 68
14/1
Running Point silks

Mrs Catherine Harrison

3yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 14

Elzaam - Lyrical Attraction (Dandy Man)

J ClearyJ P Fahey
523680
3.0

Shaped with promise in maidens last year and didn't get clearest of runs when eighth on return/handicap debut at Roscommon. Shaped as if amiss at Leopardstown (1m) next time though and not seen since. Significantly up in trip.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/0724/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par11/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par18/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par18/06projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 69%17/07Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 82%29/09Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 42%11/05Pos 16 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 16 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%18/06
Projected finish11th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
9%12-1287/100
13
12
OR 58
25/1
Cascade Canyon silks

Atomic Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 12

Coulsty - Valdiyana (Sinndar)

Terry Casey60%−7lbKevin Coleman
040920
4.0

Improved for application of cheekpieces when an 8-length second of 10 in handicap at Sligo (13.3f) in August, but failed to back that up at Navan last time. This looks tough and others are preferred.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/048/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%25/04Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%10/06Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%5/08Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 18%27/08
Projected finish12th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%8-1272/100