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15:50 · Down Royal

Racing Post Chase (Grade 2)

2m 3f 100yGoing TBCClass 14YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick
OR 151
4/5
Koktail Divin silks

Barry Maloney

Koktail Divin

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Masked Marvel - Divine Sainte (Saint Des Saints)

Darragh O'Keeffe20%2/5H De Bromhead70%Synergy 88
422151
8.0
Going 0Course 83

Smart novice chaser last season, culminating with a win in Grade 1 Manifesto at Aintree (2½m, good to soft) in April. Likely this 6-y-o has even more to offer this season. The one to beat.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par5/0431/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/11 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a28/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a11/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par9/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par9/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 83Dist: 2m 3f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 63%5/04Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%22/11Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 62%11/03Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%9/04
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-190/100
2
OR 148
11/4
Jacob's Ladder silks

Gigginstown House Stud

Jacob's Ladder

7yo Gelding · 11-7

Mount Nelson - Pocket Call (Milan)

Jack Kennedy20%3/8G Elliott60%Pair 30%Synergy 100
121143
7.0
Going 0Course 0
Cheek pieces

Much improved since fitted with cheekpieces, recording his third win over fences in Grade 3 novice at Navan. Below par when remote third in Punchestown Grade 1 on final start but the type to bounce back on return.

Class Advantage

13/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/1211/01 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/01 · mark par2/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/02 · mark par28/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par5/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par30/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par30/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 3f 100y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%13/12Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%2/02Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 57%5/04Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%30/04
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
83%1-284/100
3
OR 146
4/1
Kala Conti silks

Robcour

Kala Conti

6yo Mare · 11-3

Karaktar - Rolibie De Vindecy (Roli Abi)

Danny Gilligan10%1/2G ElliottSynergy 56
70112F
7.0
Going 0Course 0

Made bright start over fences when winning first 2 races, including Grade 2 mares novice at Cork in December. Likely to have been involved in the finish but for falling 3 out in Grade 1 Maghull at Aintree when last seen in the spring. Unlikely to be far away but Jack Kennedy is on Jacob's Ladder.

Class Advantage

29/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par29/1211/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par21/04 · C0 · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par23/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/12 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a31/01 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a31/01projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 3f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%29/12Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%21/04Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%7/12Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%31/01
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-559/100
5
OR 137
14/1
Break My Soul silks

Matthew Rogers

Break My Soul

7yo Mare · 10-11

Doyen - Ayleoola (Presenting)

Conor Stone-Walsh10%0/1Ian DonoghueSynergy 34
4723P2
6.0
Going 0Course 0
Tongue strap

Useful novice chaser last season. Cheekpieces on first time (off now), bit below par when 11 lengths second in listed mares hurdle when last seen in May. Can be competitive if close to her best back from break.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a8/117/12 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a26/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par15/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par11/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par9/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%8/11Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%26/12Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 89%11/03Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%9/05
Projected finish4th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%2-748/100
7
OR 110
33/1
Herja silks

Gerry McGladery

Herja

6yo Mare · 10-7

Policy Maker - Crofton Trail (Heron Island)

Harry Sexton10%1/6Mrs P GriffinSynergy 38
326231
5.0
Going 0Course 60
Tongue strap

Fair chaser who came good over fences in 2-runner maiden at Sligo last month but this is significantly harder.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par4/0523/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par21/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par28/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par31/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par30/09 · C11 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par30/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲8
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 60Dist: 2m 3f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%4/05Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%21/06Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 95%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%31/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%30/09
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%4-768/100
6
OR 91
100/1
Stretchemout silks

Trainors At Dans Partnership

Stretchemout

6yo Mare · 10-11

Kingston Hill - Chevalier Jet (Chevalier)

Alex Harvey10%R K Watson70%Synergy 28
147P0P
3.0
Going 0Course 50
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Modest chase winner for Gordon Elliott but well held in handicap hurdle/chase for new yard over the summer and out of her depth here.

Class Advantage

13/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/04 · mark par13/0419/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par1/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par2/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲8
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 50

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%13/04Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%1/10Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%1/11Pos 14 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 24%2/07
Projected finish6th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
17%3-759/100
4
OR 112
66/1
Mic Drop silks

Peter Tarrant

Mic Drop

7yo Gelding · 11-0

Soldier Of Fortune - Is Herself About (Flemensfirth)

Sean Flanagan10%1/11D M O'BrienSynergy 30
511323
5.0
Going 0Course 0

Has had a good first half of the season in handicap chases, winning twice and placed on 3 other occasions. Looks to be biting off more than he can chew here, though.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par14/0421/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par30/06 · C10 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par17/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par30/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/09 · mark par11/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par11/10projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲9
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 3f 100y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%14/04Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%30/09Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%11/10
Projected finish7th of 7
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%5-776/100