17:10 · Gowran Park

Edward Doran's Birthday Handicap

7fGoing TBC3YO plusTURFHandicap13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
12
Market Fav3
OR 664/1
Fortuity silks

M J Drapac

3yo Filly · 8-10

Dark Angel - Lucky Clio (Key Of Luck)

Shane Foley60%1/7Mrs J Harrington70%
902164
5.0
Cheek pieces

Career-best effort when winning over 7f at Fairyhouse in May switched to front-running tactics. Quickly back to form when fourth of 14 in handicap there (8.7f, good) in July under another attacking ride. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/0922/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par28/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par19/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par1/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 27%29/09Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 92%11/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%19/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 77%1/07
Projected finish1st of 13
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Top Pick1
OR 7715/2
Morehampton silks

Miss Scarlett Mullion

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Sea The Moon - Donnybrook (Invincible Spirit)

Ben Coen70%1/7J P Murtagh
040509
4.0

C&D maiden winner last summer but failed to match that form since and down the field all 5 starts this season. The cheekpieces are left off.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par11/108/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par23/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 31%11/10Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%23/05Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 31%27/06Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%11/07
Projected finish2nd of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 7618/1
Alfred Tennyson silks

T&M Partnership

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Starspangledbanner - Call Me Katie (Kodiac)

J M Sheridan60%0/4D Hogan60%
720603
4.0
BlinkersTongue strap

Unreliable sort but went close in Navan handicap in June. Rather in-and-out since, though good third at Galway just 10 days ago. Needs to back that up now with the tongue strap refitted.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/057/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par18/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%31/05Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 31%26/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 21%18/07Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 86%28/07
Projected finish3rd of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
6
OR 735/1
Bofa Beach silks

Alpha Racing

3yo Filly · 9-3

Kameko - Having A Blast (Exchange Rate)

Scott McCullagh60%Mrs J Harrington60%
40393
5.0Going 7.0

Third in 1m maiden here on reappearance before perhaps stretched by the longer trip at this course next time. Ran to just a modest level when third in maiden at Naas (1m, good, 5/1) in July. Improvement to find on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0627/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par4/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%27/06Pos 27 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 27 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 10%27/09Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%20/05Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 38%12/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%4/07
Projected finish4th of 13
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
11
OR 696/1
Neo Smart silks

Mrs J S Bolger

5yo Mare · 9-5

Belardo - Neophilia (Teofilo)

Nicola Burns0/2−5lbJ S Bolger60%
197745
3.0
Tongue strap

Showed a good attitude to land Dundalk handicap in February. Best turf effort of the season when fourth of 20 at the Curragh (1m, good to firm) in June before a respectable effort at Leopardstown last time. Place chance.

Class Advantage

27/02 · C7 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par27/0220/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par24/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par26/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par16/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%27/02Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 54%11/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 84%26/06Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%16/07
Projected finish5th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 7214/1
Send Harry silks

Golden Brown Syndicate

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Harry Angel - Send Up (Fastnet Rock)

Jimmy Dalton0/5−7lbMiss E McCutcheon70%
206249
4.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Made the frame in handicap at Leopardstown in June and minor event at Limerick in July. Below form in handicap at Galway (7f, good to soft) 10 days ago.

Class Advantage

12/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/11 · mark par12/114/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par19/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par18/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par28/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 92%12/11Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%19/05Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 70%11/07Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%28/07
Projected finish6th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
7
OR 7812/1
Ohailbhic silks

Ivan Holloway

5yo Gelding · 10-0

Exceed And Excel - Saffian (Dubawi)

Ronan Whelan60%2/3J Feane
983117
5.0

In good heart on the all-weather earlier in the year when landing back-to-back 1m handicaps at Dundalk in March. Was given a considerate return at Naas just over 2 weeks ago. Remains winless on turf.

Class Advantage

19/12 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/12 · mark par19/1216/01 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par20/02 · C7 · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par13/03 · C7 · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par20/03 · C7 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%19/12Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 85%20/02Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%20/03Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%22/07
Projected finish7th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
9
OR 644/1
Ballymagreehan silks

Paul Rooney

4yo Gelding · 9-0

Sergei Prokofiev - Performance Poet (Poet's Voice)

Luke McAteer1/10D Marnane
760177
5.0

Course winner back in May. Raised 10 lb for that and not disgraced in 2 starts since, though looks in the handicapper's grip at present.

Class Advantage

13/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/01 · mark par13/0128/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/01 · mark par5/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par20/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par12/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par9/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 54%13/01Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%5/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%12/06Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%9/07
Projected finish8th of 13
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
13
12
OR 6611/2
Reimagined silks

Rolline O'Callaghan

3yo Filly · 8-10

Kodi Bear - Pearly Empress (Holy Roman Emperor)

Nathan Crosse0/3Daniel McLoughlin
090394
3.0

Made the frame twice from 4 starts for the yard this season, latest when 3 lengths fourth to Bullet Bourbon in 11-runner handicap at Dundalk (7f) last month. Must improve.

Class Advantage

12/09 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a12/0910/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par3/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par28/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par1/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par12/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%12/09Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%3/04Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%1/07Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 70%12/07
Projected finish9th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Value2
OR 7233/1
Summer Snow silks

P A Kelly

6yo Mare · 9-8

El Kabeir - Chute Hall Lady (Dark Angel)

Gavin RyanP Lawlor
809050
3.0
Tongue strap

Struggling for form at present, seventeenth of 20 at the Curragh (1m, good to firm) just 6 weeks ago. Handicapper drops her another chunk.

Class Advantage

19/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par19/107/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above7/11 · mark par15/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%19/10Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%15/05Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%19/06Pos 17 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 16%26/06
Projected finish10th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
8
OR 7122/1
Bundle Of Interest silks

COR Racing Syndicate

4yo Filly · 9-7

Bungle Inthejungle - Security Interest (Belong To Me)

Billy Lee60%0/5W McCreery60%
464370
4.0
Visor

Opened account in handicap at Navan last summer. Returned to that level when a close third at Gowran in October but might have needed the run after 6 months off at Naas in May. Reappears here on the back of another break.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/0930/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/09 · mark par8/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par20/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par7/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par9/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/05projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 70%2/09Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%8/10Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 87%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%7/11Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%9/05
Projected finish11th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
10
OR 7114/1
Caitouna silks

Patrick K McCarthy

3yo Filly · 9-1

Ghaiyyath - Agathe Sainte (Holy Roman Emperor)

Colin Keane60%1/1P W Flynn70%
559196
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Showed improved form to get off the mark with Colin Keane taking over on second handicap start at Fairyhouse in July. Failed to match that effort in 2 outings since. Cheekpieces go on but others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/0315/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par1/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par9/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par27/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 69%6/03Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 53%3/06Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 11%9/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 64%27/07
Projected finish12th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
13
OR 7422/1
Tokyo Treasure silks

Ben Browne

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Profitable - Japanese Slipper (Power)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%P T Foley60%
8387
3.0
Tongue strap

Lightly-raced gelding who showed a bit in 3 maidens last year. Stiff task when seventh of 11 in minor event (22/1) at Limerick (6.7f, good to firm) on return in July. Booking of McMonagle a plus on handicap debut and should have more to offer.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0929/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/0911/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/1011/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 53%2/09Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 85%29/09Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 53%11/10Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%11/07
Projected finish13th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend