19:30 · Gowran Park

1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap

1m 4f 100yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 639/2
Numidia silks

Peter Lawlor

8yo Gelding · 11-0

Estidhkaar - No Way (Rainbows For Life)

Miss N Fahey60%−7lbP Lawlor60%
007811
7.0
Visor

Registered first turf success in more than 2 years at Bellewstown (14.5f) before producing his best effort for some time to follow up at Down Royal (13f) latest. Hard to rule out the hat-trick in a field where recent Flat form is sparse.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par22/0415/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 8%22/04Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%26/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%2/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%17/07
Projected finish1st of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
4
OR 4811/1
Anightaway silks

Ms Sinead O'Scanaill

5yo Gelding · 10-6

Night Of Thunder - Blanche Neige (Halling)

Sadhbh Tormey−7lbSean Davis60%
000081
5.0
Tongue strap

First form under Rules when winning at Sligo on Wednesday after 4 months off, seemingly responding well to the longer trip and first-time tongue strap. Not an obvious type to follow up under a penalty, though.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/1019/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/11 · mark par6/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par30/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 40%11/10Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 22 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 13%6/12Pos 18 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 42%30/03Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%5/08
Projected finish2nd of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav3
OR 709/4
Forthill silks

John Joseph Flynn & C Gray

4yo Filly · 11-7

Adlerflug - Noble Princess (Makfi)

Ms J I Stokes60%−7lbP Twomey60%
52303
4.0
1st Visor +2

€160,000 Adlerflug filly. Chased home some above-average types in turf maidens last season. Both starts this year have come on the back of absences, finishing a below-form third in a maiden at Dundalk last month. Opening mark could look lenient if recapturing her best in a first-time visor.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/096/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%9/09Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%6/10Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 91%2/11Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 36%11/04Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%12/07
Projected finish3rd of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 6310/3
Monntie silks

Brendan Dudley

4yo Filly · 11-0

Churchill - Egyptian Sky (Fastnet Rock)

Ms K M Ryan−7lbJ J Hanlon
483
4.0

Lightly-raced 4-y-o. Offered something to work with in Flat maidens (fair form) for previous yard last summer. Couple of hurdle starts last month suggest she's in form and one to note for support now handicapping back on the level.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/0612/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 77%7/06Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%16/08Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 77%10/07Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%24/07
Projected finish4th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
2
OR 6711/1
Liberated Light silks

Mrs Claire Gleeson

7yo Gelding · 11-4

Muhaarar - Hikari (Galileo)

Miss O M Queally−7lbJ & T Kiely
512645
5.0
Tongue strap

Runner-up in Amateurs' Derby at Epsom in summer of 2023. Won twice over hurdles since before a creditable enough return to the Flat in 2m handicap at Tramore last time. Back over 1½m and has claims if they go a good gallop.

Class Advantage

2/12 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/12 · mark par2/127/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par20/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par16/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par30/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par7/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%2/12Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 93%20/04Pos 11 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 11 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%30/05Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%7/07
Projected finish5th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
5
OR 6233/1
L'Un Deux Trois silks

Keep The Faith Bloodstock Limited

10yo Gelding · 10-13

Mastercraftsman - Moment Juste (Pivotal)

Jessica O'Gorman60%−7lbO McKiernan80%
532040
2.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Hit the frame in a trio of Flat handicaps off higher marks in 2024. Campaigned over jumps since and produced his best effort for a while on return at Downpatrick in early-May. Could be interesting if in similar heart on return to the Flat.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par24/1015/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par26/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par25/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par2/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par8/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/05projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 42%24/10Pos 13 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 57%26/12Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 43%2/05Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 64%8/05
Projected finish6th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
8
OR 5314/1
Vervain silks

Jim Payne

4yo Filly · 10-4

Acclamation - Proxy (Frankel)

Orla Tynan60%−7lbD H Kelly
190044
4.0
Tongue strap

Won a 3-y-o handicap at Cork last July for Joseph Murphy. Stepped forward from reappearance when 1½ lengths fourth in big-field Killarney handicap latest. Still 2 lb below her winning mark and fancied to go well on just her third start for current yard.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/0715/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par6/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par21/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 28%6/09Pos 18 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%7/07Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%15/07
Projected finish7th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
7
OR 5715/2
Ms Messi silks

Dermot Murphy & Miss Eileen Farrelly

5yo Mare · 10-8

Make Believe - Twiggy's Girl (Manduro)

Nicola BurnsP W Flynn
091980
3.0

Surprise winner of a similar event off 3 lb lower at Tipperary last August. Lost her way at the end of 2025, though booking of capable apprentice offers some hope of a bounce back on return from 9-month break.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/0726/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par26/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par5/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par5/11projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 23%16/07Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 27%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 46%26/09Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%5/11
Projected finish8th of 11
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
10
OR 7020/1
Pahlavi silks

Shark Hanlon Racing Club

9yo Gelding · 11-7

Palavicini - Persian Memories (Indian Ridge)

Ms C E Gunn−7lbJ J Hanlon70%
3250
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Modest winning hurdler. Ran no sort of race in first-time blinkers (now replaced by cheekpieces) over hurdles last time. Questions to answer switched to a handicap on first Flat start for over 3 years.

Class Advantage

26/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/0918/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par7/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par21/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par2/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par29/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 53%26/09Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%7/05Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%2/06Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%29/06
Projected finish9th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
9
OR 7250/1
Gatsby Grey silks

Keep The Faith Bloodstock Limited

10yo Gelding · 11-9

Waldpark - Rochepaille (Rochesson)

Ava Maher−7lbO McKiernan80%
550
2.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Veteran who was pulled up in 3 consecutive chases over the spring. Returns in more severe headgear and has plenty to prove on Flat handicap debut (first start in this sphere since November 2024).

Class Advantage

27/04 · C14 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/0413/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a2/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a26/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/12projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 58%27/04Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 18 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 6%3/11Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%2/12Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%26/12
Projected finish10th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
11
OR 51125/1
Mapa silks

Sue Chadwick

5yo Mare · 10-2

Mitole - Two Timing Girl (Two Step Salsa)

Miss R Hogan−7lbS Lavery60%
603000
2.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Long-standing maiden. Gone backwards since finishing third of 16 off 2 lb higher mark at Roscommon on reappearance in May. Admittedly she was flying too high in a competitive maiden at Galway Festival latest and hood goes back on return to calmer waters.

Class Advantage

13/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/01 · mark par13/0130/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par31/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 100y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 62%13/01Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 87%18/05Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 7%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%12/06Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 40%31/07
Projected finish11th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend