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18:48 · Kilbeggan

KEPAK Handicap Chase

2m 4f 40yGoing TBC5YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 1307/1
Jasko Des Dames silks

Watchman Racing

Jasko Des Dames

7yo Gelding · 11-12

It's Gino - Saraska D'airy (Ungaro)

Mike O'Connor60%H De Bromhead80%
220545
3.0
Tongue strap

Winless but took it up a notch last season, twice a runner up in the autumn. Off 3 months before a fading fifth of 9 in handicap chase at Killarney (17f, good) 22 days ago. Not out of things.

Class Advantage

21/09 · C13 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/0924/10 · C2 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par2/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par11/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par9/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par17/07 · C13 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 40y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 92%21/09Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 15%2/02Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 79%9/04Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%17/07
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 12015/2
Mickie Angel silks

Premier Racing Club

Mickie Angel

8yo Gelding · 11-2

Westerner - Moskova (Montjeu)

J J Slevin60%D Hogan
372623
6.0

Yet to score over fences but arrives in very good nick, hooded for 1st time when third of 9 in novice chase at Galway (23f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Has to be taken seriously back in handicap company.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/112/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par25/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/01 · mark par3/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par31/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 40y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%4/11Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 91%29/12Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 90%3/07Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%31/07
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Market Fav4
OR 1167/2
Ceanndana silks

Hows Your Father Syndicate

Ceanndana

9yo Gelding · 10-12

Leading Light - Lady Artemis (Kalanisi)

Sean Flanagan60%0/2R O'Sullivan60%
639235
4.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Course winner who shaped as if in need of the run after 6 months off with fifth of 8 in handicap hurdle here (3m, good) in May. Stable having good spell so needs considering back chasing.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C3 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par25/101/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par19/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par14/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par1/11 · C12 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par15/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par15/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 40y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%25/10Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%19/07Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%1/11Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%15/05
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Value2
OR 1249/1
Ma Jacks Hill silks

Gigginstown House Stud

Ma Jacks Hill

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Famous Name - Peig Alainn (Milan)

Jack Kennedy60%1/6G Elliott80%
655318
5.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Scored at Punchestown in June but only eighth of 10 in handicap chase at Wexford (19f, good) 36 days ago. Bounce back needed.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a17/1129/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par16/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par21/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C13 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par3/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 40y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%17/11Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 43%16/04Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%7/06Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 22%3/07
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
6
OR 12012/1
Rexem silks

Derek Kierans

Rexem

9yo Gelding · 11-2

Leading Light - Jim's Article (Definite Article)

Josh Williamson60%0/1−5lbJ C McConnell60%
573425
5.0
Cheek pieces

On a losing run but comes here in good form, fifth of 20 in handicap chase at Galway (23f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Ought to be thereabouts again.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par6/0515/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par3/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par10/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par24/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par31/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 40y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%6/05Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 78%3/07Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%24/07Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 79%31/07
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 12314/1
A Law Of Her Own silks

Mrs A F Mee

A Law Of Her Own

9yo Mare · 11-5

Lawman - Azlaa (Dubawi)

Donagh MeylerE Mullins
3U691U
5.0Going 8.0

Signed off for Peter Fahey with victory over hurdles at Punchestown in October. Tongue strap on, badly hampered and unseated rider 1st in handicap chase at Galway (23f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Remains very much one to consider.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C12 · finish vs mark above15/03 · mark par15/031/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par22/05 · C13 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par2/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par27/09 · C12 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par15/10 · C12 · finish vs mark above15/10 · mark par15/10projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 40y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%15/03Pos 13 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 0%22/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%27/09Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%15/10
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
8
OR 10617/2
Grange Walk silks

E Gleeson

Grange Walk

11yo Gelding · 10-2

Thewayyouare - A Woman In Love (Muhtarram)

Daniel King60%1/12J P Ryan60%
05436B
3.0
Blinkers

Fifteen runs since his last win in 2025. Brought down 1st in handicap chase here (2½m, good) 15 days ago. Others look better treated at these weights.

Class Advantage

18/01 · C12 · finish vs mark below18/01 · mark par18/012/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par12/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par16/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par25/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par12/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 40y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%18/01Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%12/03Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%25/05Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 55%12/07
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 12316/1
Intense Approach silks

Ms Caroline Ahearn

Intense Approach

7yo Gelding · 11-5

Jack Hobbs - Intense Tango (Mastercraftsman)

Alex Harvey5/10J C McConnell60%
15U500
2.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Useful winning hurdler/chaser at his best. Blinkered for 1st time, below form thirteenth of 20 in handicap chase at Galway (23f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Needs a big step forward.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/0825/10 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a28/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par12/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par2/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C13 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 40y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%28/02Pos 16 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 12%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%2/07Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 37%31/07
Projected finish8th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend