13:38 · Plumpton

Henners Gallop To Grape-Ness Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

1m 7f 195yGood (Good to Firm in Places)Class 44YO plusTURF4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
4/1
Arcturus Flame silks

Ambrose Racing Club Ltd

4yo Gelding · 11-2

Too Darn Hot - Kitty Love (Kitten's Joy)

J J Burke60%James Owen
No form4.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Just the one win on the Flat but is a fairly useful performer. Below form on heavy at Goodwood but brother to fair 2m hurdler Stay In The Game, which bodes well ahead of this debut over obstacles.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par18/041/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par14/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 67%Dist: 1m 7f 195y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 69%18/04Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%14/06Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 67%14/08Pos 5 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 50%29/08
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.3%Ahead 0/4
4
Market Fav2
11/4
Raulin silks

Moore Racing Syndicate

4yo Gelding · 11-2

Mehmas - Lope Scholar (Lope De Vega)

Caoilin QuinnG & J Moore60%
No form5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Dam half-sister to French hurdler/chaser (2m-2½m winner) Kyrov and French 19f hurdle winner Colonia Victoria. Fairly useful on the level for David O'Meara, winning 4 times in all. Didn't show much on recent stable debut and he's quickly sent hurdling.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par16/0430/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par8/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par24/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 1m 7f 195y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%16/04Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%27/05Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%24/08
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.4%Ahead 1/4
2
3
33/1
Padel Whacker silks

Mr A Head & Mr G L Moore

4yo Gelding · 11-2

Frontiersman - Sudden Light (Presenting)

Freddie Mitchell−3lbG & J Moore80%
65
3.0

Yard has had success with this family but he failed to justify favouritism in Huntingdon bumper on debut in April and didn't fare much better at this track the following month. Now goes hurdling for his leading local yard.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/0426/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 100%Dist: 1m 7f 195y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 29%4/04Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 20%26/05
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -60.6%Ahead 0/2
5
4
50/1
Sangara silks

Miss Sheena West

4yo Filly · 10-9

Bungle Inthejungle - Jeremys Joy (Jeremy)

M GoldsteinMiss S West
No form2.0Class ↓2
Hood

Dam half-sister to fairly useful hurdler (stays 25f) Futurum Regem. Limited Flat performer at up to 1¼m. Hood retained for hurdling debut.

Class Advantage

25/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/0818/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par4/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 1m 7f 195y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 21%25/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 12 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 12 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%4/10Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%24/08Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%1/09
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.6%Ahead 2/4