1
Capitol Hill
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Angers · Prix Du Chateau d'Angers Claiming Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 27/08/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 15% | -0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |