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15:19 · Ffos Las

Red Lion Llandyfaelog Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f 80yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURF4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 69
11/8
Aerial Silk silks

Mr D J Deer

Aerial Silk

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Bated Breath - Mulberry Silk (Al Kazeem)

Saffie Osborne70%D Menuisier80%
43478
3.0

Showed ability in 3 runs as a juvenile but has struggled both starts in handicaps this season, most recently at Wolverhampton (9.5f) in June. Drops back in trip and holds leading claims returned to novice company.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/0926/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%4/09Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%26/09Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%22/10Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%9/05Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%28/06
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.9%Ahead 1/4
4
Market Fav2
10/11
Lucky Radar silks

Morera Partnership

Lucky Radar

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Lucky Vega - Rainfall Radar (Rebuttal)

Oisin Murphy70%B R Millman60%
2
5.0

Lucky Vega gelding who offered something to work on making a fairly belated debut when second of 4 in maiden at Chepstow (6f, soft) 3 weeks ago. Every chance he can go one better with Murphy taking over.

Class Advantage

31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.0%Ahead 1/1
1
3
8/1
Circle Of Secrets silks

Mr R De La Haye

Circle Of Secrets

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Seahenge - Marichen (Peer Gynt)

Laura Coughlan−3lbF O'Brien
No form4.0

Standout effort over hurdles when fourth at Leopardstown on final start for Emmet Mullins last December. Tailed off on both outings for current connections earlier in the year and now make his Flat bow.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/1129/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/1212/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/027/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par7/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 77%4/11Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%29/12Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%12/02Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%7/04
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.0%Ahead 2/4
2
4
33/1
Just Johnny silks

Mr Alan Jones

Just Johnny

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Order Of St George - Jazzy Lady (Intikhab)

Jack Nicholls60%−3lbA E Jones
7
2.0

Failed to show much in 3 bumpers and struggled back from 12 months off when last of 7 in novice at this course (1¼m, good) on Flat bow in June. Drops back in trip but can only be watched.

Class Advantage

9/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/1118/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/058/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/0730/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%9/11Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%18/05Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 13%8/07Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%30/06
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.3%Ahead 0/4