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17:42 · Wolverhampton

Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div 2)

7f 36yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 52
4/1
Distillation silks

High Five Racing

Distillation

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Charm Spirit - Much Better (Exceed And Excel)

Rose Dawes60%0/1−5lbM D I Usher
241562
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

C&D winner in July and advanced his form with an excellent second of 10 in handicap over C&D 3 days ago, edged out on the line. Not taken lightly off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage

2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par2/0617/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 88%2/06Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%21/07Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 56%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%11/08Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%18/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 50
9/2
Bungle Bay silks

Mrs J Evans

Bungle Bay

7yo Gelding · 9-7

Bungle Inthejungle - Jenny's Dancer (Danehill Dancer)

Joe Leavy6/27H J Evans
058224
6.0Class ↓2

A 5-time C&D winner. In good form without success this season until a below-par fourth of 13 in classified event at Leicester (7f, good) in June. Freshened up since and not out of things.

Class Advantage

3/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/03 · mark par3/0323/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/03 · mark par5/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par21/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 10%3/03Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 46%5/04Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%2/06Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 75%8/06
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.6%Ahead 3/4
5
7
OR 52
7/1
Golden Harvest silks

Mr M Johnson

Golden Harvest

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Washington Dc - Big Sky (Fastnet Rock)

D C Costello0/3Steph Hollinshead
09534
4.0Class ↓2

Lightly-raced maiden who wasn't seen to best effect when fourth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (6f) 3 weeks ago, not enjoying the smoothest of passages. Not discounted off a 2 lb lower mark.

Class Advantage

13/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0418/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%13/04Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 20%18/05Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 43%26/06Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%23/07Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.8%Ahead 4/4
1
Value2
OR 55
7/1
Based silks

Rathmoy Racing Iii

Based

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Oasis Dream - La Dorotea (Lope De Vega)

Marco Ghiani70%W J Knight80%
173407
4.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Got off the mark over C&D in June and made the frame twice the following month. Can have the run ignored when down the field (tongue tied) over C&D last time, meeting trouble. Handily weighted here.

Class Advantage

2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par2/0625/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%2/06Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 75%21/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 10 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 10 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 18%31/08Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%18/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.2%Ahead 1/4
2
4
OR 51
9/2
Jackson Street silks

Dare To Dream Racing

Jackson Street

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Dandy Man - Archetypal (Cape Cross)

Kieren Fox70%M J Attwater
644375
4.0Class ↓2

Scored at Lingfield in December. Close third on the turf there (7f) last month but below that form there last 2 outings. Needs to step forward.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/051/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 44%19/05Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 70%30/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%11/08Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%10/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.8%Ahead 1/4
7
6
OR 49
12/1
Ndoto silks

Worksop Manor Stud

Ndoto

3yo Filly · 9-3

Dream Ahead - Sosian (Showcasing)

Ethan Tindall60%−5lbR A Fahey80%
3457
4.0Class ↓2

Lightly-raced maiden. Off 4 months, best run when a fading seventh of 13 in handicap at Newcastle (7f) 18 days ago. May do better still with that under her belt.

Class Advantage

3/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0321/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/038/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/053/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 60%3/03Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%21/03Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%8/05Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%3/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.2%Ahead 3/4
6
Market Fav5
OR 47
7/2
Rain Cap silks

J R Racing

Rain Cap

9yo Gelding · 9-4

Fountain Of Youth - Rough Courte (Clodovil)

Callum Shepherd70%J Riches60%
745734
4.0
Visor

On a losing run but this veteran is back in good form, fourth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 18 days ago. Possibilities.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/0622/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%15/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%16/07Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%4/08Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%3/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.4%Ahead 1/4
10
8
OR 45
20/1
Nautical Sky silks

Champion Of The Thames Racing

Nautical Sky

3yo Filly · 8-13

Twilight Son - Blue Beacon (Fantastic Light)

L Morris70%0/1James Owen70%
825776
3.0Class ↓2
1st Visor +2

Runner-up over 8.5f here on handicap debut for James Ferguson in March. Below that form since but much better signs on second run for new yard with keen-going sixth of 12 in handicap at this course (8.5f) 2 weeks ago. Interesting now back in trip in a first-time visor.

Class Advantage

23/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0224/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/03 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 13%23/02Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 64%8/06Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%24/08Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 55%7/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.9%Ahead 2/4
9
10
OR 45
66/1
Royal Justice silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

Royal Justice

5yo Mare · 9-2

Inns Of Court - Victoria Lodge (Grand Lodge)

Christian Howarth60%S Dixon60%
690008
2.0
Blinkers

Remains a maiden after 16 runs. 100/1 and blinkered for first time when only eighth of 11 in handicap here (6f) 20 days ago.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/0519/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%31/05Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 18%26/07Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%27/08Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 30%1/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.3%Ahead 3/4
8
9
OR 45
25/1
Spruces Due silks

Mr Raymond Spruce

Spruces Due

4yo Filly · 9-2

Due Diligence - Sicti (Teofilo)

R Havlin60%M Mullineaux
404
4.0Class ↓2
Hood

Well beaten all 3 starts, too free in a first-time hood when last of 4 in novice at Doncaster (6f, good to firm) last time. Makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0614/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/061/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength63%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%10/06Pos 12 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%14/06Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%1/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.3%Ahead 1/3