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14:00 · Hamilton

Heineken Zero Drink Responsibly At Hamilton Park Handicap

5f 7yHeavy (Soft in Places)Class 63YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market Fav3
OR 50
9/4
Fear And Fast silks

Let's Be Lucky Racing 38 & Steven Wils

Fear And Fast

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Massaat - Mayfair Lady (Holy Roman Emperor)

S H James70%1/2J S Goldie
986571
5.0Class ↓4

Finally got off the mark after 22 starts at Musselburgh last week, with a recent breathing operation evidently having benefited him, though he also went through the race much more efficiently with the headgear removed. Player if able to back that up off a 5 lb higher.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par5/0521/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%5/05Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 17%6/06Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 14%16/07Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%12/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.9%Ahead 1/4
7
5
OR 48
6/1
Doon The Glen silks

Johnnie Delta Racing

Doon The Glen

6yo Gelding · 9-3

Orientor - Glenlini (Bertolini)

P Mulrennan2/13J S Goldie60%
187556
4.0
Visor

Better than ever when notching a second C&D success of the season in July but hasn't been in the same form since. Has now dipped below last winning mark at least.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/0727/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 17%Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%16/07Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%8/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%21/08Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 58%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.8%Ahead 4/4
6
6
OR 48
7/2
Royal Duke silks

Mr Steve Dick

Royal Duke

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Music Master - Royal Duchess (Dutch Art)

Rhys Elliott60%3/23−5lbR M Smith60%
507153
6.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Capitalised on a much-reduced mark at Carlisle under this rider. Better than the bare result on both starts since, including when a 2-length third to Fear And Fast at Musselburgh last week (likely to have gone close with a clearer run). Meets the winner on 6 lb better terms here.

Class Advantage

27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/078/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%27/07Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%24/08Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 64%9/09Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%12/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.6%Ahead 2/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 54
6/1
Impressor silks

Mr J Toes & Mr J O'loan

Impressor

9yo Gelding · 9-9

Footstepsinthesand - Little Empress (Holy Roman Emperor)

Connor Beasley60%1/2Phillip Makin60%
636080
3.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Veteran who was a C&D winner this time last year. Has been struggling for form of late, but he's potentially very well handicapped now, even on the form he showed as recently as June.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par18/054/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par10/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 17%Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 55%18/05Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%10/06Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 22%21/08Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 8%2/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -44.7%Ahead 0/4
8
Value2
OR 45
12/1
Kyber Crystal silks

Rmr Syndicate 1

Kyber Crystal

7yo Mare · 9-0

El Kabeir - Lapis Blue (Invincible Spirit)

Kaiya Fraser70%2/15R Menzies80%
055760
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Respectable third at Redcar on her return in the spring but has generally struggled since.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/0629/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 9%5/06Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%9/07Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%27/08Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%9/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.8%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 54
10/1
Supremissy silks

Crown Tavern Lanark Ltd

Supremissy

3yo Filly · 9-8

Supremacy - Divine Celt (Lawman)

A Mullen70%1/5I Jardine60%
319479
4.0

Improved to make a successful handicap debut at Musselburgh in June. Just the one decent effort in 4 starts since, but that was over C&D when a close fourth.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0522/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%3/05Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 27%8/08Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%27/08Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%12/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.2%Ahead 2/4
2
8
OR 55
6/1
Kilmac Air silks

Mr Hugh Brunton

Kilmac Air

3yo Filly · 9-9

Dandy Man - Lady Beware (Dragon Pulse)

Jason Hart60%0/1J & S Quinn60%
043646
4.0
Blinkers

Modest form in Ireland for Donnacha O'Brien. Shaped well on first outing for new connections after 11 weeks off when fourth at Carlisle but failed to see things out back over 7f at Catterick. Tries 5f for the first time now.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/043/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 67%Dist: 5f 7y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 11 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 17%8/04Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 82%19/05Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%19/08Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 55%8/09
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 50
25/1
With Glory silks

Mr David Orr

With Glory

3yo Filly · 9-4

Cotai Glory - With Virtue (Iffraaj)

William Pyle70%0/4Miss L A Perratt
257950
2.0

Runner-up in novice at Musselburgh on final 2-y-o start for Iain Jardine but little encouragement for current yard this year.

Class Advantage

1/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/106/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par3/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in Places) · 17%Dist: 5f 7y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%1/10Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%3/05Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%30/05Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 10%12/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.4%Ahead 4/4