11:55 · Scottsville

Lucky Fish Aviator Class 4

7f 210yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Top Pick1
OR 77
7/2
Master Bomber silks

Messrs P Govender, S S Naidoo & P Naidoo

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Lancaster Bomber - Mistressofmyfate (Master Of My Fate)

Tristan Godden60%0/1Stuart Ferrie60%
311422
9.0Going 8.0

C&D winner. 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win here in April. 33/20, creditable ½-length second of 10 to Mister Nibbles in handicap at this C&D (good) 29 days ago.

Class Advantage

15/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/0215/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength28%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 210y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%15/02Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%26/04Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 79%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 91%2/08Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%23/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.0%Ahead 3/4
2
Market Fav2
OR 76
3/1
Sparrow Man silks

Hollywood Racing (nom: Mr A Delpech)

3yo Colt · 8-6

Gimmethegreenlight - Kelpie (Dynasty)

S Veale70%0/1Mike/mathe Kock60%
61
8.0

1 win from 2 runs this year. Won 9-runner maiden (83/100) at this C&D (good) 54 days ago. Has good chance on form.

Class Advantage

19/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/0729/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 210y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 17%19/07Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%29/07
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.7%Ahead 1/2
5
3
OR 81
7/2
War Reporter silks

Kestorm Investments (nom: Mr Kenneth Pillay)

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Vercingetorix - Idler (Fort Wood)

K De Melo70%1/1Sean Tarry60%
263112
7.0

2 wins from 4 runs this year. Latest win at Vaal in May. 4/1, good second of 8 in handicap at Vaal (8f, good) 81 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/0724/07 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a28/03 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a30/04 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a28/05 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a2/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 210y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%6/07Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%28/03Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%28/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%2/07
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.1%Ahead 4/4
7
5
OR 73
5/1
The Marquee silks

Mrs S Plattner

4yo Gelding · 9-7

William Longsword - Straat-kind (Var)

Serino Moodley60%1/6Willem Nel60%
126623
6.0Going 8.0

17/2, good third of 8 in handicap at this course (7f, good) 54 days ago. Not taken lightly.

Class Advantage

7/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/112/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 210y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%7/11Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 58%15/02Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 62%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 90%29/04Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 71%29/07
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 77
10/1
Mister Nibbles silks

Messrs J A G Rushton, F J Beck, Marius Mostert & G

5yo Gelding · 9-1

Horizon - Girl's Best Friend (Trippi)

Marco V'Rensburg60%Paul Lafferty
596441
7.0Class ↓1

Won 10-runner handicap (4/1) at this C&D (good) 29 days ago by ½ length from Master Bomber.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/0317/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength23%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 210y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%15/03Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%6/06Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 70%9/08Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%23/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.9%Ahead 2/4
6
8
OR 54
14/1
Power Star silks

Messrs N Yariv, Douglas Campbell & J Sarjooparsad

7yo Gelding · 8-3

Pomodoro - Reigning Queen (King Of Kings)

Anaas Mosaheb60%−6lbDoug Campbell60%
289519
5.0
Blinkers

Course winner. Latest win here in August. Respectable ninth of 15 in handicap (25/1) at Greyville (9f, soft) 24 days ago. Booking of Mosaheb a plus. Others have achieved more.

Class Advantage

5/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/1219/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 210y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 92%5/12Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 27%23/05Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%9/08Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 43%28/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.5%Ahead 4/4
3
7
OR 62
14/1
Jazz Festival silks

Mr M Ridgeway & The Boom Trust (nom: Mr H G Schoom

7yo Gelding · 8-4

Flower Alley - Sovereign Beat (National Emblem)

A Mgudlwa60%Mark Dixon
246728
5.0

C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2024. Respectable eighth of 15 in handicap (33/1) at Greyville (9f, soft) 24 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage

18/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0115/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 210y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 92%18/01Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 70%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%15/03Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 90%9/08Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%28/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.5%Ahead 3/4
1
6
OR 68
14/1
Turbo Twenty silks

Bass Racing (pty) Ltd T/a Centenary Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Canford Cliffs - Balclutha (Captain Al)

Dezahn Louw60%2/4Candice Bass60%
145055
4.0

Course winner. Respectable fifth of 9 in minor event at this course (7f, good, 17/2) 22 days ago.

Class Advantage

14/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/0912/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 210y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%14/09Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 43%5/12Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%12/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%30/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.6%Ahead 1/4
10
9
OR 74
33/1
Ancient World silks

Mr L J Pierrelouis & River Palace Bets (pty) Ltd (

6yo Gelding · 9-0

Vercingetorix - Puritani (Daylami)

Cole DickenYadav Singh
086707
3.0

Course winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2024. 66/1, seventh of 11 in minor event at Greyville (8f, AW). Off 103 days. First run for yard after leaving D. Zaki.

Class Advantage

18/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/018/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 210y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 8%18/01Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%11/03Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 10%6/05Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%10/06
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.3%Ahead 2/4
9
10
OR 53
20/1
Wood World silks

Mr C T Holmes

5yo Gelding · 8-8

One World - Awayinthewoods (Fort Wood)

M Yeni70%0/1Kelly Mitchley
634950
3.0

Thirteenth of 15 in handicap (100/1) at Greyville (9f, soft) 24 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/0421/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/10 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a24/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 210y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%21/04Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%22/07Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%24/10Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 14%28/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -34.3%Ahead 1/4