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15:12 · Leicester

Pattinson Auction Winning Bid Handicap

6fGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 67
9/2
Mumayaz silks

Mr N Sfrantzis

Mumayaz

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Tamayuz - Rashaaqa (Oasis Dream)

William Carson60%0/2A W Carroll
435675
4.0

Rejoined this yard from James Owen in March and ran out an easy winner over C&D in May. It's been rather a mixed bag since but is now back on that last winning mark.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/0513/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 63%14/05Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%29/06Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 45%14/08Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%8/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.3%Ahead 1/4
10
Market Fav4
OR 63
9/4
Act Of Violence silks

Peter R Ball & Contubernium Racing

Act Of Violence

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Outstrip - Bacall (Paco Boy)

S De Sousa60%1/3A W Carroll
684132
7.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Made his second start for this stable (formerly trained by David Loughnane) a winning one when landing 11-runner handicap at Ripon (6f) in July. Placed both runs since, latterly second of 11 over 5f here 13 days ago. Should give another good account.

Class Advantage

27/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/12 · mark par27/1222/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 44%27/12Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 40%27/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%15/08Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 90%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.8%Ahead 2/4
9
5
OR 65
8/1
Maid In Devon silks

Horniwinks Racing Syndicate

Maid In Devon

3yo Filly · 9-5

Sergei Prokofiev - Favourite Girl (Refuse To Bend)

George Wood60%1/1B R Millman
111636
5.0

Showed improved form to rattle off a 6f hat-trick over the summer. Creditable third of 11 at Windsor on penultimate start and possibly not helped by being caught on the far flank of the group when sixth of 12 at Salisbury since. Back on last winning mark.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/059/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%14/05Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%13/08Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 55%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.2%Ahead 1/4
5
Top Pick1
OR 66
10/1
The Flying Seagull silks

Two Plus Three Two Plus Four

The Flying Seagull

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Kodiac - You'resobeautiful (No Nay Never)

Cieren Fallon70%0/1H Palmer90%
640305
3.0Class ↓3
Visor

Hasn't won for over 2 years but might strip fitter for latest Wolverhampton fifth after 9 weeks off and he's on a career-low mark. Not dismissed.

Class Advantage

23/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/03 · mark par23/0318/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par21/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%23/03Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%5/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 10%11/07Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%7/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.3%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 70
10/1
Diamondinthedark silks

Melissa Cooke

Diamondinthedark

3yo Filly · 9-10

Harry Angel - Safe House (Exceed And Excel)

Billy Loughnane80%1/3D M Loughnane
21826
4.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

All-weather novice winner last year. Stepped up on that form when close second of 6 in Ffos Las handicap (6f, good) last month but needs to shrug off a lesser run at Wolverhampton (tongue tied first time) since.

Class Advantage

3/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/1129/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par26/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 86%3/11Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%29/11Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%4/06Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%4/08Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%26/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.6%Ahead 2/4
7
7
OR 65
10/1
Magic Music silks

Mr Ray Bailey

Magic Music

4yo Filly · 9-7

Al Kazeem - Magic Destiny (Dubai Destination)

P J McDonaldSteph Hollinshead
931656
4.0

Lightly-raced 4-y-o who got off the mark in 7f Doncaster handicap in June. Better than the result when sixth of 10 at Haydock (7f) 17 days ago, floundering late on very testing ground. Gets the vote.

Class Advantage

13/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/04 · mark par13/042/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%13/04Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%7/08Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%4/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.5%Ahead 2/4
4
6
OR 66
14/1
The Bitter Moose silks

Mr David Henery

The Bitter Moose

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Kodiac - Baroness (Declaration Of War)

K Shoemark60%P R Chamings60%
403338
4.0
Visor

Creditable third of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, all-weather) last month but has followed it with a lesser run at Ascot. Bounce back needed.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par8/049/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par30/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par22/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%8/04Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 41%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%30/05Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%20/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 30%4/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.8%Ahead 2/4
6
8
OR 67
14/1
Alkuwarrior silks

Mr Brian Hicks

Alkuwarrior

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Alkumait - Elegant Peace (Intense Focus)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbC Mason60%
157566
3.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Transformed by first-time cheekpieces when doubling his tally in 8-runner event at Ffos Las (5f, soft) in June but hasn't reproduced that level in 5 subsequent starts.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/0627/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par6/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%27/07Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%21/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%7/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.7%Ahead 2/4
3
12
OR 67
7/1
Travel Agent silks

Mr D Morgan

Travel Agent

4yo Gelding · 9-9

No Nay Never - Flower Fashion (Flower Alley)

Charles Bishop1/3Adam Kirby
457755
3.0

Recorded back-to-back wins on the all-weather in April. Also second on turf at Lingfield (6f, good to firm) in May. Better than result when fifth on all-weather last twice and back on a workable mark.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par28/0511/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%28/05Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%2/07Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%17/08Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%31/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.7%Ahead 0/4
12
11
OR 58
33/1
Bleep Test silks

Reality Partnerships Vi

Bleep Test

3yo Filly · 8-12

Time Test - Poudretteite (Royal Applause)

D Fentiman60%T D Easterby60%
408070
2.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Won a 6f Redcar maiden last season but hasn't offered much in her 5 outings this season.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/0727/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par9/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%9/07Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%8/08Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%9/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.6%Ahead 1/4
8
9
OR 64
16/1
Neptune Legend silks

Mr N Sfrantzis

Neptune Legend

7yo Gelding · 9-6

Invincible Spirit - Kate The Great (Xaar)

D Egan60%1/3A W Carroll
151600
3.0Class ↓3

Has done very well since rejoining this yard in the spring after a spell with James Owen, winning 3 times during the summer. His form has dipped since but he did have an excuse last time (rider lost irons at start).

Class Advantage

29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/0529/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par23/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par13/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%29/05Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%23/08Pos 17 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 17 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%13/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.5%Ahead 2/4
11
10
OR 60
33/1
Ezra Cee silks

If Only Partnership

Ezra Cee

5yo Gelding · 9-2

No Nay Never - Easton Angel (Dark Angel)

Lewis Edmunds60%D Shaw60%
035670
2.0Class ↓3
Visor

Lightly raced since scoring at Windsor in May 2024 and plenty to prove after finishing last of 11 on recent course stable debut/reappearance.

Class Advantage

3/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par3/1016/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par27/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/10 · mark par4/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/12 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 18%3/10Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 43%31/08Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%4/12Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%8/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -45.9%Ahead 0/4