18:07 · Fort Erie

Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 85
5/2
Mia And Me silks

Vetere, Jim, Green, Michael Thomas And Ceccato, Sharon

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Frac Daddy - Alpha Mood (Alphabet Soup)

Juan Crawford60%3/9Sharon Ceccato60%
553223
7.0

Class Advantage

21/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/066/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%21/06Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%20/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%24/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%7/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.0%Ahead 2/4
3
Top Pick1
OR 86
3/1
Truly Mischief silks

Zig Grinsteins

7yo Gelding · 8-8

Into Mischief - Truly Blushed (Yes It's True)

Pierre Mailhot60%1/2C Rabstein60%
434561
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

26/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par26/049/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par31/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par29/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par6/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%26/04Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%31/05Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 17%6/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%28/07
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -33.6%Ahead 1/4
1
Market Fav4
OR 73
2/1
Souper Iconic silks

David Mathes

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Souper Speedy - Souper Echo (Macho Uno)

Xarel Forde60%1/2Julie Mathes60%
892511
8.0

Class Advantage

31/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/10 · mark par31/1014/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/11 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%31/10Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%31/05Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%18/08Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%24/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.1%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 84
9/2
Always A Way silks

Joy Elkins

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Khozan - Sense When (Street Sense)

Da Sean Gaskin60%0/1Joseph Humber60%
423165
5.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

26/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par26/043/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par28/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%26/04Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%28/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%7/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.7%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 79
5/1
Ghost Hero silks

Pan Am Racing

6yo Horse · 8-10

Shaman Ghost - Queen Buxley (Super Saver)

Alexis Sanchez60%Steven Cathcart60%
712345
5.0Class ↓6

Class Advantage

8/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a8/116/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par3/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par24/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par21/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 14%8/11Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%3/06Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%21/07Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%10/08
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.7%Ahead 1/4